(listserv post from Jen Boylston)

Subject:
From:
Jennifer Boylston <boylstonj@GMAIL.COM>
Reply To:
Jennifer Boylston <boylstonj@GMAIL.COM>
Date:
Sat, 6 Mar 2021 16:25:03 -0500

Yesterday, a group of Lyme residents published a Letter to the Editor that correctly pointed out that between 2012 and 2019, Lyme’s cost per pupil increased by 45%. This is true, and on the surface seems like a high number. I wondered if an explanation for this increase exists. I also wondered how Lyme’s cost increase compares to other districts in the state of NH.

 
Comparing cost per pupil across all districts in the state of NH presents a challenge, as districts operate differently. Some are solo districts, many exist as Cooperatives, some tuition students of particular grades to one or more schools, etc.. In an effort to create an “apples to apples” comparison, I created a list of districts that operate a K-8 school and either tuition students to high schools or participate in a high school cooperative. I further limited this list to towns that have small populations comparable to Lyme’s. The towns on this list have populations within the range of 1500-3046 (data sourced from NH OSI, 2019).
 
The list is sorted (largest-smallest values) on column F. This column presents the % change in cost per pupil (CPP) between FY2012 and FY2019. You can link to the website I used to source the data presented in each column (last row, “Data Source”).
 
Data Sources
NH OSI = NH Office of Strategic Initiatives
NH DOE = NH Department of Education
RHNH = Reaching Higher NH
NHES = NH Employment Security
 
Acronyms
CPP = Cost per pupil – note that on this list, cost per pupil is limited to K-8 spending.
SPED = Special Education
HHI = Household income
EVPP = Equalized value per pupil – this value is calculated by dividing the town’s equalized assessed value by the total number of students. Total student number includes all students in the district (HS kids are here too), but only those that attend public school. A note about equalized: before completing the calculation, the assessed value is “corrected” with an equalization ratio, assigned by NH-DRA. The state expects each town/municipality in NH to assess property at 100% of market value. This objective is not met evenly across the state. The equalization ratio adjusts for differences, it is a normalization tool. The EVPP reflects a town’s capacity to raise funds to support schools with the property tax.
 
The presented state CPP is elementary school only and is actually an average, not a median. This is also true for the listed state EVPP values. Because, the state likes to calculate averages. The other values (calculated by me) are medians.
 
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O
School District Pop. (2019) % students (2019) School operated High School % change in CPP, 2012 to 2019 % change SPED enrollment (2012-2017) % change in median HHI (2006-2010) to
(2012-2016)
% change in EVPP (2011 to 2018) HHI (ACS 2015-19) 2020 CPP 2019 CPP 2012 CPP EVPP (2018) EVPP (2011)
Tamworth 2918 9.8% K-8 Tuition 62.2% 49.5% 1% 43.3% $
51,354.00
$
24,296.87
$
28,174.61
$
17,369.78
$
1,352,704.00
$
944,110.00
Unity 1605 9.3% K-8 Tuition 56.2% -61.0% 7% 14.2% $
69,702.00
$
19,392.76
$
18,816.94
$
12,043.84
$
933,881.00
$
818,111.00
Hampton
Falls
2428 9.1% K-8 Cooperative 47.7% 7.2% 11% 36.7% $
85,549.00
$
26,334.77
$
25,031.93
$
16,948.71
$
1,568,984.00
$1,147,923.00
Lyme 1729 16.6% K-8 Tuition 44.9% 67.0% 34.1% 14.1% $112,625.00 $
23,474.76
$
23,185.35
$
16,000.35
$
1,291,344.00
$1,131,621.00
Cornish 1654 8.1% K-8 Tuition 35.5% -14.7% 16% 51.7% $
82,083.00
$
25,461.85
$
24,705.87
$
18,230.85
$
1,431,518.00
$
943,870.00
Holderness 2131 7.0% K-8 Cooperative 34.1% -2.7% 1% 44.5% $
61,618.00
$
24,688.56
$
24,055.73
$
17,939.01
$
3,614,985.00
$2,501,183.00
Bartlett 2837 9.9% K-8 Tuition 32.2% -33.5% 28% 71.3% $
54,688.00
$
23,555.77
$
24,263.74
$
18,353.37
$
4,250,687.00
$2,480,873.00
Rumney 1498 8.3% K-8 Cooperative 31.9% -7.7% -5% 0.1% $
55,625.00
$
30,950.67
$
25,167.63
$
19,085.05
$
1,000,413.00
$
999,789.00
Marlborough 2143 12.4% K-8 Tuition 28.3% -38.2% -16% 11.1% $
71,023.00
$
20,571.66
$
19,461.29
$
15,172.04
$
720,778.00
$
648,947.00
Westmoreland 1748 11.9% K-8 Tuition 27.8% 22.3% 13% 1.0% $
89,667.00
$
17,676.73
$
16,796.35
$
13,138.17
$
827,683.00
$
819,852.00
Chichester 2630 12.5% K-8 Tuition 25.6% -4.6% 11% 33.8% $
95,398.00
$
18,454.45
$
18,525.56
$
14,751.21
$
964,060.00
$
720,741.00
Plainfield 2443 11.8% K-8 Tuition 23.6% 0.0% -1% 18.2% $
85,313.00
$
19,938.51
$
21,714.13
$
17,561.16
$
1,036,903.00
$
877,513.00
Thornton 2611 8.3% K-8 Cooperative 18.2% -38.7% 13% -9.1% $
67,054.00
$
20,492.77
$
18,696.82
$
15,818.51
$
1,248,026.00
$1,373,594.00
Ashland 2099 7.6% K-8 Cooperative 17.0% -34.1% 23% 12.4% $
46,184.00
$
19,712.61
$
19,411.09
$
16,590.19
$
1,090,184.00
$
970,230.00
Andover 2372 13.2% K-8 Tuition 16.1% -20.4% 11% 14.3% $
77,283.00
$
14,881.86
$
14,926.61
$
12,858.30
$
958,417.00
$
838,554.00
Median (list) 2143 9.8%     31.9% -7.7% 10.9% 14.3% $
71,023.00
$
20,571.66
$
21,714.13
$
16,590.19
$
1,090,184.00
$
944,110.00
Median (state)   11%     24.2% 6.3% 8.2% 34.4% $ 74,991.00 $
17,188.40
$
16,519.77
$
13,413.70
$
1,117,573.00
$
831,256.00
Data Source NH OSI       NH
DOE
RHNH RHNH NH
DOE
NHES NH
DOE
NH
DOE
NH
DOE
NH
DOE
NH
DOE
Some of my thoughts:
  • Column F: The median % change in CPP (2012-2019) across the listed districts is 31.9%. Lyme % change is higher than median, but is not the highest.
Some factors that I think may be impacting the CPP in Lyme are bulleted here:
  • Column C: Lyme has a higher proportion of students relative to total population than any town on the list.
  • Column G: Between 2012-2017 Lyme’s enrollment in SPED grew by 67%, a clear outlier on the list.
  • Column H: The % change in Lyme’s median HHI is significantly higher than the median for listed towns and the state.
  • Accordingly, column J shows that Lyme’s median HHI is higher than any other town on this list, and is significantly larger than median HHI in the state.
  • Column I: here is where Lyme looks very average – % change in EVPP. Our town’s assessed value did not increase significantly between 2012-2019. We’re not developing, we are not growing. In FY2019, Lyme’s ADM (average daily membership = number students) was 287.52. In FY2012, ADM was 285.61. So, we increased by ~ 2 students. There is essentially no change to the denominator, but the numerator changes in ways that cannot be fully controlled by the district’s administrators or school board. They can only be managed.
The majority of Lyme’s residents aged >25 have earned bachelor’s (26%) or graduate degrees (42%). The percentages sum to 66% – compare to Grafton County (39%) and NH (35%). Parents in Lyme have high expectations for the school – many of us had the luck/fortune to attend good public (and probably some private) schools in America, and we understand the value that is tied to a good education. These expectations are not without merit. I am a parent who shares these expectations. I suspect that the expectations have contributed to the % increase in CPP we’ve seen over time.
 
Back to Column F: the towns that cluster towards the bottom of the list have the lowest % change in CPP over the stated time interval. It is worth noting that these towns trend towards below average EVPP. They have limited capacity to raise funds needed to run the schools. Some, but not all of them, are struggling – you can overlay fiscal disparity metrics on this chart, and things fall into place as you might expect. To raise funds for schools in NH, towns are forced to rely, heavily, on the property tax. It’s not fair. It’s not fair for kids, and it’s not fair for taxpayers.
 
There is no clear relationship between CPP and the variables on the chart. For example, if SPED enrollment increases are driving costs up, why is Unity’s % change so high? I don’t know. I would point out that Unity’s CPP in 2012 was very low, much lower than the median for K-8 schools on the list. I can tell you that Unity experiences significant year-year fluctuations in CPP. A possible theory is that Unity’s cost could reflect poor management of the budget that led to deficiencies that needed to be addressed. I don’t know.
 
I’m not suggesting that there is an answer to the crisis of school funding here. I just want to provide some context to the single point of data. The context I’ve provided here is so shallow relative to what is possible. But, this is an email not a thesis.
 
Thanks,
Jen
 



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